Business and tech innovations Stablecoins: Reimagining money movement for a digital economy

Global Economic Insight
March 2026 – If you’ve ordered dinner from your phone, tipped a creator or bought something you saw in a social feed, you’ve felt how commerce is changing. More shopping now happens inside apps, with cards saved on file and checkout done in a tap. As these habits spread globally, a new kind of money movement is sliding quietly into the background: stablecoins. Stablecoins—especially fiat-backed—can settle these purchases behind the scenes as the underlying payment mode while being cost-efficient and programmable.

What the data shows:

  • Fiat-backed stablecoin purchases on Visa-branded cards outpaced crypto in H2-2025 — average ticket size below $100. The consumer behavior is already on the card rails.
  • Retail-sized stablecoin volume for stablecoins USDC, USDT and PYUSD grew from $0.5B to $69.8B between 2019 and 2025 — a 140× increase in six years, with the growth curve steepening.
  • Heavy social media use correlates strongly with crypto optimism, with digital-native markets positioned for the fastest adoption. Two in five Gen Z active social media users believe cryptocurrencies are the future of online financial transactions.

According to the Visa Onchain Analytics Dashboard, the data suggests an increase in retail-sized stablecoin transfers and purchases (transactions below $250), occurring at a frequency similar to everyday consumer spending.¹ Retail‑sized volumes for stablecoins USDC, USDT and PYUSD* climbed from about $0.5 billion in 2019 to $69.8 billion in 2025, roughly matching the size of the Uganda economy. However, this still represents a small portion of global payments; for instance, stablecoins account for around 0.1 percent of U.S. cashless payments.² Over the same period, retail‑sized transaction counts jumped from around 4.7 million to about 1.3 billion. In 2025, retail-sized volume makes up only about 0.6 percent of total adjusted stablecoin volume, but retail-sized transactions account for 57 percent of total transaction count. This reflects a typical pattern you see in consumer payments—that is, many small purchases—signifying that stablecoins could be entering more mainstream use cases (figure below).

That’s why stablecoins have a natural role to play in seamless everyday spend, as well as P2P remittances and B2C payouts, such as cross-border payouts from businesses to creators in emerging markets. Indeed, fiat-backed stablecoin purchases grew faster than crypto purchases in H2-2025, based on VisaNet data.

More than half of all user-initiated stablecoin transactions* are small enough to be ordinary retail transactions

Stablecoin transactions (USDC, USDT, PYUSD) as a share of transactions that exclude automated transactions made by computer programs (bots) in 2025 (percent)

More than half of all user-initiated stablecoin transactions* are small enough to be ordinary retail transactions. See image description for details.

* USD Coin (USDC), Tether (USDT), PayPal USD (PYUSD). Data extracted on 28 January 2026. Source: Visa Business and Economic Insights analysis of Visa Onchain Analytics Dashboard

  • A stacked bar chart representing stablecoin transaction count in 2025.
  • The bar is divided into two segments. The first segment is labeled “Retail Sized” with a value of 1.3 billion transactions (56.5% share) and the second segment is labeled “Others” with a value of 0.98 billion transactions (43.5% share).

Digital natives are embracing stablecoins

In markets where people shop, chat and pay inside social apps, as well as expect everything to work around the clock, stablecoins tend to catch on fast. Further, consider ecosystems built around super‑apps, creator commerce and cross‑border communities sending money home. In those always‑on, social‑first environments, stablecoins find ready users.

Across countries, belief that “cryptocurrencies are the future of online financial transactions” increases meaningfully with frequent social media use (10+ times/day). The correlation is around 0.7, indicating a strong positive relationship between heavy social media use and crypto optimism (figure below). And as of 2025, two in five Gen Z active social media users believe cryptocurrencies are the future of online financial transactions.³

Consumers are living in a virtual world. In some markets, such as Saudi Arabia, UAE, Brazil and India, consumers surveyed check social 10+ times a day and believe crypto is the future of online financial transactions. These are the markets poised to accelerate consumer adoption of stablecoins faster than ever.

Digital natives will drive early stablecoin adoption

Share of adult respondents who agree “cryptocurrencies are the future of online financial transactions” (percent) vs. share of adult respondents who use social media 10+ times a day (percent)

Digital natives will drive early stablecoin adoption. See image description for details.

Source: Visa Business and Economic Insights analysis of YouGov Global Profiles (October 2025)

  • A scatter plot mapping the share of adult respondents who use social media 10+ times a day for the sampled countries (x axis) and the share of adult respondents who agree cryptocurrencies are the future of online financial transactions (y axis).
  • The sample of plotted countries (x%, y%), ranges from Japan (10.7%, 21.2%) to Philippines (42.7%, 37.5%).
  • Countries that are above the global sample average in terms of share of adult respondents who use social media 10+ times a day comprise of Argentina, Brazil, Egypt, Greece, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Thailand, United Arab Emirates.
  • Countries that are below the global sample average in terms of share of adult respondents who use social media 10+ times a day comprise of Australia, Austria, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, USA, and Vietnam.

Stablecoin retail-sized transfers are accelerating

The usage pattern for social commerce, enabled by one-tap checkout, comprises a high volume of small, frequent payments. This matches how stablecoins already show up on-chain, with a larger share of transactions by count. Modest retail-sized stablecoin transfers of USDC, USDT and PYUSD (under $250) are only ~0.6 percent of the dollars moved on a bot-adjusted basis but are ~57 percent of all transactions.⁴

This is particularly evident in PayPal’s PYUSD, a dollar-backed stablecoin built for everyday payments, which has taken off fast. Specifically, retail-sized stablecoin transfers surged from $10,000 USD in 2023 to $3.8 million USD in 2025. Meanwhile, monthly active users jumped from just 15 in November 2022 to about 88,000 by October 2025, and the total supply surged from around $1 million to over $3 billion across Solana and Ethereum blockchains over the same period.

VisaNet data also suggests that purchases of (fiat-backed) stablecoins followed a similar accelerating trend (figure below), outpacing growth of crypto purchases in H2-2025. The average transaction ticket size (excluding B2B transactions) was below $100 at the end of December.

Fiat-backed stablecoin purchases on Visa-branded cards grew faster than crypto purchases in H2-2025

Transaction amount (Index, May 2025=100)

Fiat-backed stablecoin purchases on Visa-branded cards grew faster than crypto purchases in H2-2025. See image description for details.

Note: Excludes B2B transactions. Source: Visa Business and Economic Insights analysis of VisaNet data

  • A line chart showing indexed transaction amounts over June 2025 to December 2025 for stablecoin and crypto.
  • The stablecoin line starts at 123 in June and rises to 759 in December. The crypto line starts at 93.1 in June, rises to 109 in October and eases to 86 in December.

This likely reflects in large part greater regulatory clarity, which makes it easier to plug stablecoins into today’s global payment systems. Specifically, the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, signed into law in July 2025, establishes the first federal framework for regulating “payment stablecoins”—digital assets pegged 1:1 to fiat currency and used for payments. It introduces licensing, reserve, reporting, and consumer protection.

There are significant opportunities for stablecoin adoption in payments over the longer term, beyond the current use cases for stablecoins that revolve around trading and dollar access in the emerging markets. This translates to a massive expansion of total addressable market, such as in cross-border money movement. Countries with meaningful GDP dependence on remittance from migrant workers could seek to utilize stablecoins more and potentially disrupt cross-border banking transactions. Using stablecoins for remittances allows for fast, low-cost cross-border payouts to family and freelancers. 

Meanwhile, “agentic” commerce is going mainstream. Gen Z and millennials increasingly let AI recommend, compare and buy, while Asia‑Pacific super‑apps like Grab, GoTo, WeChat, Alipay and Paytm bundle rides, shopping, bill pay and finance under one login. In that setup, a stablecoin-linked payment card can sit behind the same one‑tap checkout, allowing consumers to spend from a stablecoin balance seamlessly at millions of merchants globally—anywhere card payments are accepted—with no change to the user experience. Also, if discovery and purchase happen inside social feeds and chats, stablecoin usage can thrive in the form of creator payouts, instant refunds, micro‑purchases and social media tip jars.

The future of commerce isn’t on the horizon; it’s already here. When we safeguard trust, the positive economics of stablecoins, specifically lower costs and always‑on availability, can accelerate the adoption of stablecoin payments.

Agentic commerce needs always‑on payments

Just as e-commerce needed a digital payment solution, agentic commerce may require new payment solutions that are fast, always-on and programmable—making the long-run opportunity of stablecoins in agentic commerce clear. We’ve already seen the pattern: Commerce is becoming more digital, more social and more “always on.” And the data says the foundation for this shift is already in place. VisaNet data confirms an expanding base of credentials that transact purely via CNP (card-not-present) channels. In some digitally mature markets, digital-only credentials exceed 20 per 100 adults, which represents a mix of consumers who are only transacting online and virtual cards.⁵ Meanwhile, on-chain retail-sized activity continues to accelerate.

Now layer on the next shift: agentic commerce. More shoppers—especially Gen Z and millennials—are getting comfortable letting AI help them research, compare and decide. In fact, as of 2025, one in three Gen Z shoppers now prefer AI platforms (like chatbots or AI search) over search engines or social feeds for product research, a rate that far exceeds older generations.⁶ In the cluster of markets where AI optimism is high, shoppers are ready to delegate: Price‑watching, deal‑hunting and even cart completion can be handled by agents they trust. At the same time, we see a meaningful share of CNP‑only adults. Their default credential lives on file, and their shopping journey is often online. Taken together, these dynamics create some of the fastest on‑ramps for agentic commerce, as seen in markets such as Singapore and Hong Kong (figure below).

So what happens when people move from “AI helps me decide” to “AI completes the purchase for me?”
That’s where payments have to evolve. When an agent is acting on your behalf, we need money that can move instantly, work 24/7 and follow rules—like spending limits, merchant restrictions, approvals and refunds—without adding friction. In other words, agents will need funds that are instantly transferable, denominated in fiat currency and programmable. That is exactly what stablecoins are designed to be.

As payments evolve to agent-led, the foundation for this shift will already be in place

Share of online shoppers who are optimistic about AI (percent) vs. number of CNP-only cards per hundred adults (ratio)

As payments evolve to agent-led, the foundation for this shift will already be in place. See image description for details.

*Share of online shoppers who agree with the statement: I think in the future, artificial intelligence will help humans in most of their daily tasks. Sources: Visa Business and Economic Insights analysis of VisaNet data, YouGov Global Profiles (October 2025)

  • A scatter plot mapping the index on the number of CNP-only cards per hundred adults (x axis) and the share of online shoppers who are optimistic about AI (y axis).
  • The sample of plotted countries (x, y%), ranges from Indonesia (24, 70%) to Norway (123, 59%).
  • Countries that are above the global sample average in terms of the share of online shoppers who are optimistic about AI include Brazil, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Poland, Singapore, United Arab Emirates and Vietnam.
  • Countries that are below the global sample average in terms of the share of online shoppers who are optimistic about AI include Australia, Canada, France, Great Britain, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Norway, Switzerland and USA.

Footnotes

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